GitLab

Our brand-new Deepseek-based AI says "Chiefs vs Eagles? ... How Predictable"

Super Bowl forecasts from our new Deepseek-based AI trained to be better at forecasting

Share this post

Nobody can forecast the future but at Lightning Rod Labs we are training AI to offer it its best shot. With as much as date news and a small however feisty 14 Billion specification design, our AI is boldly forecasting the unforeseeable. Join us as we attempt to respond to humanity's most difficult concerns.

Super Bowl Sunday is almost upon us and, just as two years back, we have the Chiefs against the Eagles. The spread presently sits at Chiefs -1.5 with an over-under of 48.5. While the stats are well studied, there remain numerous pressing concerns that are less simple to determine. Our company, Lightning arrester Labs, has been mining questions from places like polymarket.com and training a large language model to be much better at predicting the future (and have actually seen some intriguing improvements - term paper incoming). This week we turned its cold, computing eye at the Super Bowl to see if it can give us some insight into the finer points of what we can expect this Sunday.

For more updates from the AI world sign up for my newsletter!

Background

Our AI is a 14 billion specification design which is actually on the smaller side. (Some price quotes recommend ChatGPT has 1.8 TRILLION specifications and trained using 8000 H100 GPUs. We used 8.) Additionally, its knowledge cutoff is from lots of months ago so we have constructed an "agentic pipeline" to do news retrieval, summarization, and ranking. With each question we provide the news and watch as the AI reasons its method through unidentified area to make its finest prediction possible.

And Now ... The Important Questions

We posed the following concerns to our AI and gauged its action. While we have actually seen forecast enhancements from our training, use these price quotes for prop betting at your own hazard.

Will Travis Kelce propose to Taylor Swift after the Super Bowl?

AI Final Prediction: 5% chance

Therefore it appears this Sunday will not be a romantic one. Our AI thinks Taylor and Travis' relationship is rock solid, but a little too personal for a post-Super Bowl proposition. Plus got ta consider if the Chiefs lose. That would be an uncomfortable proposal ...

First, I'll look at the bottom lines from the posts. Travis has actually remained in a relationship with Taylor since 2023. He's a huge football star, and she's been helpful of his profession, attending his games. They seem to have a strong, public relationship, and Taylor has even welcomed her family and friends to the Super Bowl, revealing her dedication.

Some fans are excited, while others, especially Swifties, are a bit uncertain, especially given remarks Travis made about Donald Trump attending the Super Bowl. That has actually caused some Swifties to question how appropriate Travis is for Taylor. However, the couple seems to be keeping their relationship private and not addressing the speculation straight.

I think the crucial points are the speculation and setiathome.berkeley.edu his incredibly elusive answers. While he's plainly in a relationship and the Super Bowl is an important event, the odds and his actions recommend it's more of a possibility rather than a certainty. I 'd approximate a low likelihood, perhaps around 5%, thinking about all factors.

Will the Eagles do more than 5 "tush-pushes" throughout the extremely bowl?

AI Final Prediction: 79% possibility

No Jason Kelce hasn't stopped the Eagles from utilizing their signature "tush-push" move, now its simply a various front-tush being pressed. Will an AI comprehend what a "tush-push" is? Does an AI even know what a "tush" is? Will it consider that the Chiefs stopped (debate aside) Josh Allen's similar efforts? Appears like our AI thinks they'll be using Jalen Hurts 600-pound squat and strong legs and lower body (Does our AI have a crush on Jalen Hurts?) time and again throughout this game.

Alright, I'm trying to determine the likelihood that the Eagles will do more than 5 "tush-pushes" during the Super Bowl. First, I require to understand exactly what a "tush-push" is. From the short articles, it appears like it's a method where the quarterback, in this case Jalen Hurts, uses his legs and lower body strength to press off defenders. It's compared to pressing a heavy box, so it's a physical maneuver that requires strength and technique.

Article 3 dives into the physics of the "tush-push." It explains how Hurts uses his leg strength, having actually done a 600-pound squat, to execute the move. The article discusses that the Eagles have a 90% success rate with this method, which is quite high. ... I likewise require to think of the protective methods of the Chiefs. If the Chiefs know the Eagles' "tush-push" technique, they might change their defense appropriately, forum.pinoo.com.tr which might either increase or reduce the variety of times the Eagles utilize it.

Considering that more than 5 looks like a significant number however possible given their confidence, I would approximate a probability around 60-70% chance. This represents their preparation, confidence in the technique, and the probability that they'll utilize it a number of times, specifically if it works early on.

Will Kendrick Lamar diss Donald Trump throughout the halftime program performance?

AI Final Prediction: 65% opportunity

While our AI may not resemble us when it pertains to awareness, a soul, or any physical symptom, it certainly has opinions on Kendrick Lamar. It was quite uncertain, waffling back and forth, but in the end it believes Kendrick isn't going to back down from a battle.

From the short articles, I see that Kendrick Lamar has a history of slamming Trump. He's done this in his songs, like "The Heart Part 4," and even made a declaration during a previous halftime program when Trump was present in 2018. That seems considerable because it reveals he's done it in the past, so perhaps he'll do it again. But wait, looking at more current short articles, it mentions that Lamar is moving far from political declarations and focusing more on personal expression. That might imply he's less likely to resolve Trump this time.

However, he's likewise included in a fight with Drake, which might offer him factors to make some public declarations, even if they're not political. Another point is the legal problems surrounding his track "Not Like Us." There's a libel match from Drake, so perhaps he bewares about including any controversial songs in the performance. But since he won the Grammys for classicalmusicmp3freedownload.com that track, he might still wish to perform it, even if it's uncertain.

Considering Trump is attending this Super Bowl, which is a high-profile occasion, Lamar may feel forced to make a statement. However, the NFL tends to prevent political declarations throughout the halftime program, so there's a risk that such material might be limited or softened.

On the other hand, Lamar has a performance history of making bold carry on huge phases. He's the first solo rap act to heading the halftime show, which may provide him more creative flexibility. Plus, his past habits suggests he's not shy about revealing his viewpoints, even in public performances.

But I likewise remember reading that Lamar expressed fatigue about slamming Trump, comparing it to beating a dead horse. That could indicate he's less encouraged to raise Trump this time around, specifically if he's concentrating on his fight with Drake. In summary, weighing all factors-past behavior, elclasificadomx.com present shifts in focus, legal problems, and the occasion's context-the possibility seems to be moderately high, sciencewiki.science maybe around 65%.

Will Andy Reid consume a cheeseburger on screen after the super bowl?

AI Final Prediction: yewiki.org 25% chance

Lets be honest, Andy Reid enjoys cheeseburgers. And who does not? Will the truth that our AI has never ever tasted the juicy deliciousness of a fresh hamburger taint its forecast? Looks like theres somewhat of a possibility that if the chiefs taste triumph, Andy will taste Angus Beef.

From the articles, I see that Terry Bradshaw made a joke about Andy Reid eating a cheeseburger during a Super Bowl celebration. Bradshaw later said sorry for the joke, saying he didn't imply to cause offense which he in fact found it humorous himself. Reid appeared to take it in stride, which might suggest he's the type to laugh it off instead of getting upset.

Taking a look at the short articles, it discusses that Andy Reid is a food lover and likes cheeseburgers. There's an article specifically about his love for food, which suggests that he's an individual who delights in eating, historydb.date specifically with his team. So, if there were strategies to celebrate after the Super Bowl, it's possible he would take part in a cheeseburger, especially if the situation is on screen for an event.

Will the opening coin toss in the Super Bowl be tails?

AI Final Prediction: 50% possibility

"Tails never ever fails?" You can't deceive the machines !! Betters leading up to the superbowl have been anticipating the coin toss and 53% are predicting heads due to it being heads 3 of the last 4 extremely bowls. Potentially lucrative? Maybe. Statistically incongruent? Certainly. Luckily our AI can't be fooled and believes anything can take place when that coin goes in the air.

Okay, so I'm attempting to find out the possibility that the opening coin toss in the Super Bowl will be tails. I know that a coin toss is expected to be 50/50, but there's some historical data that might influence this forecast.

First, I check out the short articles offered. They all discuss the historical stats of Super Bowl coin tosses. It appears like tails has come up regularly than heads traditionally. Specifically, in 58 Super Bowls, tails has been the result 30 times, which has to do with 52%, while heads has actually been 28 times, which is about 48%. So, based simply on history, tails has a minor edge, however it's not a substantial distinction.

However, I bear in mind that the result of a coin toss is usually considered random. The slight historical edge for tails could be due to chance. But when making predictions, often people weigh historical information even if it's not statistically substantial. So, I must consider whether this historical predisposition ought to influence the possibility.

After thinking about it, I choose that while the historic information reveals a minor choice for tails, it's not statistically significant enough to move the probability away from 0.5. So, I'll go with 0.5 as the possibility, acknowledging that the slight historical edge exists but does not bypass the truth that each toss is an independent 50/50 event.

Will the referees cheat to help the Chiefs win the Super Bowl?

AI Final Prediction: 1% opportunity

We get it, you think the refs like Patrick Mahomes and are gon na assist him win. If I wasn't born and raised in Kansas City (I assure we didn't inject pro-Kansas City training data) I would most likely believe the same. BUT, its official now because our AI states the opportunities are just 1% (hmmmm ... 1% is still sort of high when it pertains to fraud on a nationwide scale). Looks like the Chiefs will need to win fair and square!

AI Reasoning:

Okay, so I'm trying to figure out the likelihood that the referees will cheat to help the Chiefs win the . Hmm, that's a pretty major accusation. Let me break this down. First, I'm seeing a great deal of posts that discuss conspiracy theories recommending referees are biased towards the Chiefs. People are pointing to some questionable contact recent video games, especially the AFC Championship Game. That does seem to stimulate some uncertainty. I can see why fans might get annoyed when their group loses due to what they view as bad officiating.

But then I read that the NFL Referees Association and the Commissioner, Roger Goodell, have both dismissed these claims as "unbelievable" and "absurd." They state there's no evidence of systematic predisposition. That's a strong declaration from individuals in charge. If they're rejecting it, it might mean there's no real basis or they would have addressed it differently if there was some fact to it.

Looking at the posts, several sources like [1], [5], [6], [7], [8], and [9] all report that the officials are against these claims, and some even called them insulting. They likewise discussed that analytical analysis does not show any pattern of favoritism towards the Chiefs. For example, Mike Pereira from FOX said data reveals the Chiefs have actually been penalized more because 2022. That's fascinating since if they were getting unique treatment, you might anticipate less charges, right?

...

So, putting all of it together, the likelihood that referees will cheat to assist the Chiefs win the Super Bowl is probably really low. Maybe not zero due to the fact that you can't dismiss every possibility, but incredibly unlikely.

Summary

There you have it everybody, is it even worth seeing the game still? I guess I'll have to wait and see how the video game turns out before we unleash this upon the stock exchange. Fingers crossed for a great game! And hello, if it ends up our AI was wrong about whatever, at least it can gain from this.